FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver discusses the race in Pennsylvania, when we’ll know the outcome of the general election, and the chances that the Supreme Court will need to step in to determine the winner of the presidency. Powered by WPeMatico
In this installment of Model Talk, editor-in-chief Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss how the latest polling has shifted in some of the key battleground states and whether there is reason to believe that “shy Trump voters” could give the president an upset win. Powered by WPeMatico
By Galen Druke and Nate Silver and Galen Druke and Nate Silver More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS This is the final(!) preelection installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Galen Druke talks to editor-in-chief Nate Silver about the latest polling shifts in key battleground states and whether there is any reason to believe that “shy Trump voters” will deliver an upset win for the president on Election Day. (The evidence suggests there isn’t.) You…
From the start of the Democratic primary, many Democratic voters prioritized electability, with plenty believing that Joe Biden was the most electable Democratic candidate in a general election against President Trump. Not everyone bought that argument: Some argued that Trump would easily caricature Biden and make him less popular with voters. Even FiveThirtyEight was skeptical of Biden’s electability argument. Sure, Biden was well-known and perceived as moderate, not to mention experienced. But it was hard to evaluate the accuracy of…
Intro hed: When To Expect Election Results In Every State dek: A complete guide to poll closing times, vote counting and races to watch on election night 2020 author1: [Nathaniel Rakich](https://fivethirtyeight.com/contributors/nathaniel-rakich/) author2: [Elena Mejía](https://fivethirtyeight.com/contributors/elena-mejia-lutz/) art: Illustrations by [David Huang](http://www.david-huang.com/) see_also.readin: [see_also.links] * [] top: Back to top Intro [+intro] [There’s a good chance](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-were-planning-for-an-election-day-that-could-last-months/) we won’t know who won the presidential election on election night. More people than ever are [voting by mail this year](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/weve-had-56-statewide-elections-during-the-pandemic-heres-what-we-learned-from-them/) due to the pandemic, and mail…
Statues of Christopher Columbus in Baltimore and a Union Army colonel in Madison, Wis., will be repaired. Powered by WPeMatico
Surprise victories in the Midwest catapulted President Trump to victory four years ago, and the region again looms as the critical battleground. Both candidates are focusing on it in the final days. Powered by WPeMatico
Suzanne Muscara, 38, sent a threatening letter to the senator’s home in 2018 after becoming upset with her vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh as a Supreme Court justice, the authorities said. Powered by WPeMatico
The C.D.C. has issued a conditional order toward certifying companies that can prove they can protect passengers and crews from the coronavirus. Actual travel by sea is still a distant wish. Powered by WPeMatico
For weeks, the director of national intelligence has taken over a job usually done by an intelligence officer. Powered by WPeMatico