Browsed by
Author: PJGAdmin

Politics Podcast: There Just Isn’t Good Evidence That ‘Shy’ Trump Voters Exist

Politics Podcast: There Just Isn’t Good Evidence That ‘Shy’ Trump Voters Exist

By Galen Druke and Nate Silver and Galen Druke and Nate Silver   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS This is the final(!) preelection installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Galen Druke talks to editor-in-chief Nate Silver about the latest polling shifts in key battleground states and whether there is any reason to believe that “shy Trump voters” will deliver an upset win for the president on Election Day. (The evidence suggests there isn’t.) You…

Read More Read More

Biden Doesn’t Have A Popularity Problem. That Might Help Him Win.

Biden Doesn’t Have A Popularity Problem. That Might Help Him Win.

From the start of the Democratic primary, many Democratic voters prioritized electability, with plenty believing that Joe Biden was the most electable Democratic candidate in a general election against President Trump. Not everyone bought that argument: Some argued that Trump would easily caricature Biden and make him less popular with voters. Even FiveThirtyEight was skeptical of Biden’s electability argument. Sure, Biden was well-known and perceived as moderate, not to mention experienced. But it was hard to evaluate the accuracy of…

Read More Read More

When To Expect Election Results In Every State

When To Expect Election Results In Every State

Intro hed: When To Expect Election Results In Every State dek: A complete guide to poll closing times, vote counting and races to watch on election night 2020 author1: [Nathaniel Rakich](https://fivethirtyeight.com/contributors/nathaniel-rakich/) author2: [Elena Mejía](https://fivethirtyeight.com/contributors/elena-mejia-lutz/) art: Illustrations by [David Huang](http://www.david-huang.com/) see_also.readin: [see_also.links] * [] top: Back to top Intro [+intro] [There’s a good chance](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-were-planning-for-an-election-day-that-could-last-months/) we won’t know who won the presidential election on election night. More people than ever are [voting by mail this year](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/weve-had-56-statewide-elections-during-the-pandemic-heres-what-we-learned-from-them/) due to the pandemic, and mail…

Read More Read More