In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Dan Merkle, executive director of elections at ABC News, about projecting the winner of individual states and the overall presidential race, as well as when we might expect those projections. Powered by WPeMatico
Democrats are favored to take back the Senate this year, according to our forecast. And that’s true, regardless of which of the three versions of the forecast you look at. In fact, the Lite (polls only), Classic (polls and fundamentals), and Deluxe (polls, fundamentals and expert race ratings) don’t currently show that much difference. In our Deluxe version of the forecast, which is the default version, Democrats have a 74 in 100 chance of winning a majority, and in both…
By Galen Druke More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS As we head toward Election Day, one of the big questions this year is not just who will win, but when we will know who the winner is. States have changed their voting rules in response to the coronavirus pandemic, and more people are voting by mail than ever before. Counting all those mail ballots will be a new task for many states, and that could take time….
Michigan and Wisconsin have been the focus of a lot of attention from nervous Democrats for the past four years, in part because Hillary Clinton spent relatively little time there and lost both states in 2016. So if you told Democrats that Joe Biden would be up by 7 points in Wisconsin and 8 points in Michigan in polls with a week to go, they’d feel … Actually, who are we kidding? They’d still feel pretty nervous since the polls…
Most of the attention on the 2020 election is focused on who will sit in the White House for the next four years. But the 2020 election could also help decide who controls the House of Representatives for the next decade. This is the last election before data from the census is released, so whoever emerges from this year holding power on the state level will have the power to redraw their state’s congressional maps — and maybe even give…
What the contents of our refrigerators say about our politics — and our assumptions. Powered by WPeMatico
The defacement lasted less than 30 minutes, and the hackers appeared to be looking to generate cryptocurrency. Powered by WPeMatico
With fewer voters to persuade and more votes being cast early, some political ad campaigns are focused on getting people to send in their ballots, not on pitching a particular candidate. Powered by WPeMatico
Ignoring cries of blatant hypocrisy, the Senate leader pushed through pre-election approval, capping off his reshaping of the judiciary. Powered by WPeMatico
The short answer: Use a drop box or try to vote in person. Powered by WPeMatico