UPDATED SEP. 21, 2021, AT 10:34 AM
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AllWho’s ahead in the Virginia governor’s race?
An updating average for each candidate, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
AUG. 2021SEPT.OCT.NOV.3040506070%SEPT. 21, 2021 LEADERSEPT. 21, 2021 LEADERMcAuliffeMcAuliffe+3.1McAuliffe 47.2%Youngkin 44.1%
Average as of today
FILTER BY POLLSTER GRADE
|Governor||Va.||SEP 17-18, 2021||A-Public Policy Polling*||875||V||McAuliffe||45%||42%||Youngkin||McAuliffe||+3|
A = ADULTS
RV = REGISTERED VOTERS
V = VOTERS
LV = LIKELY VOTERS
|Governor||Va.||SEP 7-15, 2021||B/CVirginia Commonwealth University||731||LV||McAuliffe||43%||34%||Youngkin||McAuliffe||+9|
Sept. 17, 2021
|Governor||Va.||SEP 7-13, 2021||A+The Washington Post/George Mason University||728||LV||McAuliffe||50%||47%||Youngkin||McAuliffe||+3|
|Governor||Va.||SEP 7-13, 2021||A+The Washington Post/George Mason University||907||RV||McAuliffe||49%||43%||Youngkin||McAuliffe||+6|
Sept. 16, 2021
|Governor||Va.||SEP 13-14, 2021||A-Emerson College||778||LV||McAuliffe||51%||48%||Youngkin||McAuliffe||+3|
Sept. 9, 2021
|Governor||Va.||AUG 30-SEP 2, 2021||B/CWPA Intelligence*||734||LV||McAuliffe||48%||48%||Youngkin||EVEN|
|Governor||Va.||AUG 3-5, 2021||B/CWPA Intelligence*||734||LV||McAuliffe||50%||More||McAuliffe||+7|
|Governor||Va.||AUG 3-5, 2021||B/CWPA Intelligence*||734||LV||McAuliffe||51%||45%||Youngkin||McAuliffe||+6|
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Polls conducted after June 28, 2018, the date this page was published, are listed by the date that FiveThirtyEight collected them; polls conducted before then are listed under the last date that the poll was in the field. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter.
* Polls marked with an asterisk are partisan polls. Partisanship is determined by who sponsors the poll, rather than who conducts it. Polls are considered partisan if they’re conducted on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, or PAC, super PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.
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Design and development by Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani and Julia Wolfe. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research.
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