Blog

The Senate Races Where Democrats Have An Edge In The Polls

The Senate Races Where Democrats Have An Edge In The Polls

Democrats are favored to take back the Senate this year, according to our forecast. And that’s true, regardless of which of the three versions of the forecast you look at. In fact, the Lite (polls only), Classic (polls and fundamentals), and Deluxe (polls, fundamentals and expert race ratings) don’t currently show that much difference. In our Deluxe version of the forecast, which is the default version, Democrats have a 74 in 100 chance of winning a majority, and in both…

Read More Read More

Politics Podcast: How The Media Projects The Winner Of An Election

Politics Podcast: How The Media Projects The Winner Of An Election

By Galen Druke   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS As we head toward Election Day, one of the big questions this year is not just who will win, but when we will know who the winner is. States have changed their voting rules in response to the coronavirus pandemic, and more people are voting by mail than ever before. Counting all those mail ballots will be a new task for many states, and that could take time….

Read More Read More

Is Joe Biden Toast If He Loses Pennsylvania?

Is Joe Biden Toast If He Loses Pennsylvania?

Michigan and Wisconsin have been the focus of a lot of attention from nervous Democrats for the past four years, in part because Hillary Clinton spent relatively little time there and lost both states in 2016. So if you told Democrats that Joe Biden would be up by 7 points in Wisconsin and 8 points in Michigan in polls with a week to go, they’d feel … Actually, who are we kidding? They’d still feel pretty nervous since the polls…

Read More Read More

Control Of Redistricting Is Up For Grabs In 2020. Here Are The Races To Watch.

Control Of Redistricting Is Up For Grabs In 2020. Here Are The Races To Watch.

Most of the attention on the 2020 election is focused on who will sit in the White House for the next four years. But the 2020 election could also help decide who controls the House of Representatives for the next decade. This is the last election before data from the census is released, so whoever emerges from this year holding power on the state level will have the power to redraw their state’s congressional maps — and maybe even give…

Read More Read More