Political Jason

By Galen Druke, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris and Nathaniel Rakich, Galen Druke, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris and Nathaniel Rakich, Galen Druke, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris and Nathaniel Rakich and Galen Druke, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris and Nathaniel Rakich   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS | Amazon Music | Spotify Now that we are on the other side of Labor Day and summer is subsiding, this is — as tradition goes — when focus…

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Special Elections Everything You Need To Know About Tuesday’s Special Elections In Rhode Island And Utah By Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich Sep. 5, 2023, at 6:00 AM ABC News Photo Illustration Usually, Labor Day is considered the traditional start of campaign season — but here in 2023, it marks the end of the competitive phase of two heated special elections. Neither Rhode Island’s 1st Congressional District nor Utah’s 2nd is expected to be…

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2024 Republican Primary Vivek Ramaswamy Is Climbing. Where Can He Go? By Geoffrey Skelley Sep. 1, 2023, at 6:00 AM Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy gained almost 6 percentage points in FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average between July and the first Republican debate in late August. Al Drago / Bloomberg At last week’s Republican debate, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy arguably made the biggest splash of any candidate. Sharing center stage with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, the entrepreneur spoke more than any contender other than…

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2024 Election After An Eventful Month, Trump Has Lost Support In The GOP Primary But he still has a dominant lead. By Nathaniel Rakich Aug. 31, 2023, at 6:00 AM Former President Donald Trump steps off his plane as he arrives in Atlanta to be booked at the Fulton County Jail. AP Photo/Alex Brandon Once more, with feeling: It has been a couple of weeks since former President Donald Trump’s latest indictment (this time in Georgia, in connection with his…

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Donald Trump Will Trump Regret Skipping The GOP Debates? A FiveThirtyEight Chat Aug. 30, 2023, at 6:00 AM Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. maya (Maya Sweedler, senior editor): The first Republican debate last Wednesday featured eight candidates — none of whom was the front-runner. Former President Donald Trump elected to skip the debate, writing on his social media website that “The public knows who I am & what a successful Presidency I had.”…

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2024 Election What Are Trump’s Chances Of Winning The GOP Primary? We did some back-of-the-envelope math. By G. Elliott Morris Aug. 29, 2023, at 2:57 PM ABC News Photo Illustration / REBA SALDANHA Is the 2024 Republican presidential primary already over? If you just look at the polls, you’d be forgiven for thinking so. Consider the state of the states: Several polls published last week showed former President Donald Trump leading in Iowa (with 42 percent to Florida Gov. Ron…

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FiveThirtyEight   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS | Amazon Music | Spotify This is a special end-of-meteorological-summer installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Galen Druke speaks with pollsters Kristen Soltis Anderson and David Byler in an episode made entirely of “good or bad use of polling” examples. They consider why GOP primary candidate Vivek Ramaswamy polls differently depending on survey methodology, what we can learn from post-debate polling, whether Nikki Haley used polling well in her debate…

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Student Debt How Restarting Student Loan Payments Could Change Millions of Lives — And The Economy By Monica Potts Aug. 28, 2023, at 6:00 AM ABC News Photo Illustration When Congress voted in May to restart student loan payments this fall — and then the Supreme Court overturned President Biden’s student loan forgiveness plan in June — Alexa Goins and her husband realized they had a choice: They could keep their house or they could pay off their student debt. …

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FiveThirtyEight   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS | Amazon Music | Spotify The crew discusses their takeaways from the first Republican presidential primary debate in this late-night edition of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast…

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Wednesday is the biggest day of the 2024 presidential race so far. Eight candidates will take the stage in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, for the first Republican primary debate. Chances are good that something will happen tonight that will be touted as a potential game-changer in the race: a viral moment, a particularly withering attack line, an out-of-nowhere tour de force. But how can we know whether that moment really changes voters’ minds, or if it was just a tale of sound…

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