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Is There No Place For Liz Cheney In The Modern GOP?

Is There No Place For Liz Cheney In The Modern GOP?

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): Liz Cheney is once again in danger of losing her position as the No. 3 House Republican. Earlier this week, she criticized former President Donald Trump on Twitter for continuing to falsely claim that the 2020 election was stolen from him, saying that: The 2020 presidential election was not stolen. Anyone who claims it was is spreading THE BIG LIE, turning their back…

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Facebook’s ‘Supreme Court’ Upheld Its Trump Ban, But It’s Little More Than Judicial Theater

Facebook’s ‘Supreme Court’ Upheld Its Trump Ban, But It’s Little More Than Judicial Theater

You may have already heard that on Wednesday Facebook’s oversight board upheld the site’s decision to suspend former President Donald Trump’s account, at least for the time being. That’s a noteworthy outcome in and of itself, with wide-ranging consequences for the way Trump communicates with his supporters and helps define the future of the GOP. But as FiveThirtyEight’s tech and politics reporter, I had my eye on the process as much as the outcome, and what it tells us about…

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Republicans’ Pessimistic Views On The Economy Have Little To Do With The Economy

Republicans’ Pessimistic Views On The Economy Have Little To Do With The Economy

Since Joe Biden became president, several surveys have found a sharp rise in Republican pessimism about the economy. This might seem surprising considering the national economy — which experienced one of its worst downturns thanks to the coronavirus pandemic — is now objectively improving. The United States added 916,000 jobs in March, smashing Dow Jones expectations and the unemployment rate is now at its lowest level (6 percent) in over a year. And economic forecasters now predict annual GDP growth…

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Biden’s Push For Big Government Solutions Is Popular Now — But It Could Backfire

Biden’s Push For Big Government Solutions Is Popular Now — But It Could Backfire

Just weeks after the passage of President Biden’s massive $1.9 trillion COVID-19 stimulus package, he introduced two more sweeping pieces of legislation: first, a $2 trillion infrastructure plan that would not only repair roads and bridges but also reshape the economy, and second, a $1.8 trillion plan for a federal paid-leave program, universal prekindergarten and more. In all, Biden is proposing a nearly $6 trillion infusion in the economy. What’s even more remarkable than the price tag is just how…

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California Voters Should Start Preparing For A Recall Election

California Voters Should Start Preparing For A Recall Election

Opponents of California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom needed to collect 1,495,709 valid signatures in order to trigger a recall election against him.1 And on April 26, the state announced that they had turned in at least 1,626,042.2 As a result, a statewide gubernatorial recall election (only the fourth in American history) will likely take place in the fall — but it’s not a sure bet just yet. That’s because in 2017, Democratic legislators changed the rules to give recall supporters…

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Is The Census Wrong?

Is The Census Wrong?

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas and addresses concerns that the 2020 census undercounted Hispanics. Powered by WPeMatico

Examining Extremism In The Military

Examining Extremism In The Military

Around 10 percent of those arrested so far for their involvement in the Jan. 6 riot at the Capitol are veterans. This episode of “Examined” by ABC News explores what attracts former members of the U.S. military to far-right movements, and what the military is doing to stop such extremism from developing in its ranks. Powered by WPeMatico

American Politics Now Has Two Big Racial Divides

American Politics Now Has Two Big Racial Divides

There’s been a recent flurry of studies and analyses that take a deeper look at the results of the 2020 election. These examinations don’t contradict our early interpretation of the results from the days and weeks immediately following Election Day: The overwhelming majority of voters backed the candidate from the party that they normally lean toward, though then-President Trump did slightly better with voters of color and slightly worse with white voters than he did in 2016. But the new…

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Politics Podcast: Why Democrats Got Shut Out Of A Special Election In Texas

Politics Podcast: Why Democrats Got Shut Out Of A Special Election In Texas

By Galen Druke, Alex Samuels, Nathaniel Rakich and Perry Bacon Jr., Galen Druke, Alex Samuels, Nathaniel Rakich and Perry Bacon Jr., Galen Druke, Alex Samuels, Nathaniel Rakich and Perry Bacon Jr. and Galen Druke, Alex Samuels, Nathaniel Rakich and Perry Bacon Jr.   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS Two Republicans, Susan Wright and Jake Ellzey, were the top vote getters in the jungle primary in Texas’s 6th congressional district on Saturday. They will compete in a runoff…

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What We’ve Learned From Biden’s Big Speech And First 100 Days

What We’ve Learned From Biden’s Big Speech And First 100 Days

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what we’ve learned from President Biden’s first 100 days in office and his first address to a joint session of Congress. [Related: Biden’s Betting On Public Support To Push His Agenda. Polls Show His Big Spending Packages Have It.] Watch: https://abcnews.go.com/fivethirtyeight/video/republicans-govern-winning-majority-threatens-democracy-77381725 Watch: https://abcnews.go.com/fivethirtyeight/video/majority-americans-climate-change-political-priority-77329705 Powered by WPeMatico